| Title |
Estimation of Snow Damages using Multiple Regression Model - The Case of Gangwon Province - |
| Authors |
권순호(Kwon, Soon Ho) ; 정건희(Chung, Gunhui) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2017.37.1.0061 |
| Keywords |
자연재난;대설;피해액추정 모형;다중선형회귀분석 Natural disaster;Snowfall;Damages estimation model;Multiple linear regression analysis |
| Abstract |
Due to the climate change, damages of human life and property caused by natural disaster have recently been increasing consistently. In South Korea, total damage by natural disasters over 20 years from 1994 to 2013 is about 1.0 million dollars. The 13% of total damage caused by heavy snow. This is smaller amount than the damage by heavy rainfall or typhoon, but still could cause severe damage in the society. In this study, the snow damage in Gangwon region was estimated using climate variables (daily maximum snow depth, relative humidity, minimum temperature) and scoio-economic variables (Farm population density, GRDP). Multiple regression analysis with enter method was applied to estimate snow damage. As the results, adjusted R-square is above 0.7 in some sub-regions and shows the good applicability although the extreme values are not predicted well. The developed model might be applied for the prompt disaster response. |